This post is the notes for the theory. For the anthropogenic coronaviruses origin theory, click here.
A Brief Recent History of Humans Sharing Fluids, Disease Prevention and Urbanization
Cities have always been harbingers of disease. Bubonic Plague flowed from relatively urban China to relatively rural Europe. Smallpox flowed from urbanized European settlers to rural American natives. Most of the worst diseases require sharing of fluids to develop and spread – but we figured that out so we prevented sharing fluids – except exhaled breath. Result: We now share a lot more exhaled breath than ever before, and I mean A LOT, for the first time in history.
1 AD: total world population 300 million
1000 AD: total world population 310 million
1347-1351: Black Death reaches Europe from Asia via Crimea on rat fleas on the silk road.
1492: Europe discovers the Americas – along with smallpox
1500: total world population 500 million
1796: Smallpox vaccine demonstrated. Cities grow.
1800: total world population 978 million
1850: John Snow connected Cholera to sewage. Humans stop drinking sewage. Cities grow.
1850: World urban population still under 1 billion.
1881: Carlos Finlay identifies mosquitoes as a disease vector. Cities grow.
1914: first home with air conditioning. Windows closed all summer.
1928: Penicillin isolated as the first antibiotic. Cities grow.
1928: World urban population still under 1 billion.
1950: World urban population reaches ~1 billion
1970s: energy crisis. Buildings tighten-up for efficiency. Exhaled breath trapped inside on a global scale.
1976: Legionella bacteria identified as a human pathogen after an outbreak. Click here for outbreak description. Later linked in some cases to water-cooled air conditioner cooling towers. ***Interesting, but mostly unrelated to novel coronaviruses: 1. not novel, 2. not viruses, 3. Not even human to human transmissible.
1978: smallpox eradicated by global vaccination campaign. Cities grow.
1980: World urban population 1.74 billion
1981: HIV discovered, a sexually-transmitted virus
1990: World urban population 2.27 billion
2000: World urban population 2.85 billion
2003: SARS-CoV-1 emerges, a new virus that infects the lungs and causes respiratory disease.
2010: World urban population 3.57 billion
2012: MERS-CoV emerges, another lung virus causing respiratory disease
2019: SARS-CoV-2 emerges, human lungs again, third time now.
2019: World urban population 4.27 billion
Exhaled Breath Sharing, a New Breeding Ground
The three most recent viruses to develop that infect humans have been respiratory viruses. ALL THREE. The three new viruses in just the last 20 years are lung viruses.
The story is simple. Humans figure out how to sanitize drinking water, avoid mosquitoes, kill bacteria, and vaccinate, but it enables us to breathe so much of each other’s exhaled air that viruses have found a new “primordial soup” in which to breed and evolve.
New respiratory viruses will continue to develop until we let the air out, open the windows, go outside, breathe fresh air.
Bats and camels may have coronaviruses and pass to humans sometimes, yes, but does it make the news when animals catch respiratory viruses from humans? Hell no, not until they can write the news. Are bats and camels gathering in artificial air-tight spaces by the billions? No again. Who is? Humans are. I believe the transmission goes both ways, but the primary virus development is the other way around. HUMANS are developing lung viruses with billions of us indoors breathing each other’s exhaled air, then bats and camels catch them from us.
The terms “exhaled breath sewage,” “exhaled breath sanitation,” “building ventilation factor,” etc. may be the buzz phrases of our generation.
In our minds, viruses must come from the wild. They must come from fetid bat caves and mangy camel hair. Most disease still does, but the newest breeding ground, the newest “virus wild” is the ocean of air among the concrete jungles and towering steel / glass aquariums into which humans exhale and trap 6 liters per minute of living breath each. Air is a fluid. We share the fluid, much more than any other animal. Like any shared fluid, it can make us sick.
Humans domesticate cows, cows become the second species by biomass living on Earth (second only to humans). Humans domesticate coronaviruses, coronaviruses run amok.
The Solution … ?
- Update building codes to require massive ventilation, filtering, and sanitation of the indoor air – WORLDWIDE.
- Ventilate public transit.
- End air conditioning.
- Everybody physical distance. Worldwide. All the time. Forever.
Really? What do we do?
Maybe the old Miasma theory has come true, we humans have made it so.